Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, Cernache do Bonjardim
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Vitória de Sernache. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético CP wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Vitória de Sernache (1,886) and Atlético CP (1,983).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitória de Sernache
4-3-3- 10André Dias
- 7A. Dias
- 13Lucas Daniel
- 19E. Moura
- 6R. Embalo
- 21M. Almeida
- 17T. Marques
- 4Matheus Matias
- 22Filipe Garcia
- 3Diego Tavares
- 1Joao Lucas
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 11H. Suker
- 38Caio Santana
- 20Edgar Pacheco
- 10Caleb
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitória de Sernache have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético CP have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brito(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitória de Sernache score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético CP score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória de Sernache | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético CP | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitória de Sernache sit 10th in Liga 3 (4 points from 7 matches) and Atlético CP sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Vitória de Sernache.
- Where and when is Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP played?
- Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.