São João Ver vs Guimaraes B: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube São João de Ver, São João de Ver
The Footlab model makes Guimaraes B the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for São João Ver. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São João Ver vs Guimaraes B?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate São João Ver (1,873) and Guimaraes B (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São João Ver have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Guimaraes B have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leça(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 São João Ver win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Guimaraes B win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Guimaraes B 2-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | São João Ver 0-2 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | São João Ver 0-0 Guimaraes B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Guimaraes B 0-2 São João Ver | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Guimaraes B 1-3 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | São João Ver 2-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Guimaraes B vs São João Ver on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
São João Ver score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes B score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São João Ver | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Guimaraes B | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São João Ver sit 9th in Liga 3 (1 points from 3 matches) and Guimaraes B sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São João Ver vs Guimaraes B?
- The Footlab model makes Guimaraes B the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for São João Ver.
- Where and when is São João Ver vs Guimaraes B played?
- São João Ver vs Guimaraes B is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube São João de Ver, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.