Louletano vs SC Covilha: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Algarve, Almancil
The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,972 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Louletano starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Louletano vs SC Covilha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Louletano
4-3-3- 27N. Martelo
- 23Daniel Paulino
- 9Gonçalo Teixeira
- 3Tiago Correia
- 8Sander Ramires
- 10Vítor Gonçalves
- 12Gabriel Passos
- 97Elvis Mendes
- 14Luca van der Gaag
- 18D. Martins
- 71Marcão
SC Covilha
4-3-3- 99C. Niang
- 18J. Pacheco
- 7Danny
- 6A. Barbosa
- 5H. Innusah
- 8R. Coelho
- 2Kauan Gomes
- 45M. Aidara
- 23Emerson Gomes
- 22E. Gomes Silva
- 1Gustavo Galil
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Louletano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SC Covilha have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Louletano score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Covilha score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louletano | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| SC Covilha | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Louletano sit 5th in Liga 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and SC Covilha sit 8th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Louletano vs SC Covilha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for SC Covilha.
- Where and when is Louletano vs SC Covilha played?
- Louletano vs SC Covilha is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Algarve, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.