Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,880) and Groningen (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Groningen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fortuna Sittard win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Groningen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Groningen 1-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Groningen 1-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Groningen 0-0 Fortuna Sittard | KNVB Beker |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard 3-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Groningen | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 8th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Groningen sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen?
- The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.