AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur?
AZ Alkmaar is a heavy favourite: 2,123 Elo points against 1,792, a 331-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 14C. Stengs
- 8J. Clasie
- 24A. Oufkir
- 3W. Goes
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 5M. Chávez
- 28J. De Busser
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Cambuur have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AZ Alkmaar wins, 2 draws, 0 Cambuur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Cambuur 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Jan 22, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Cambuur 1-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Mar 2, 2017 | AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Cambuur | KNVB Beker |
| Jan 27, 2016 | AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur on Feb 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 3rd in Eredivisie (19 points from 8 matches) and Cambuur sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur played?
- AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.