Cambuur vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Heerenveen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cambuur win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Heerenveen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Heerenveen 2-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| May 1, 2022 | Heerenveen 3-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Cambuur 0-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Heerenveen 2-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Cambuur vs Heerenveen on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 18th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Heerenveen sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs Heerenveen played?
- Cambuur vs Heerenveen is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.