Twente vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Groningen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Twente wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs Groningen?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs Groningen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 11D. Rots
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 1L. Unnerstall
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 4M. Csinger
- 1E. Vaessen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Groningen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Twente wins, 4 draws, 0 Groningen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen 2-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Twente 2-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Groningen 1-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Groningen 1-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Twente 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Groningen 1-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (17 points from 8 matches) and Groningen sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Twente vs Groningen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs Groningen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Groningen.
- Where and when is Twente vs Groningen played?
- Twente vs Groningen is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.