ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO Den Haag
4-2-3-1- 27N. Thomas
- 25J. Kilo
- 11E. Rottier
- 17J. Hawkins
- 14M. Jiménez
- 33M. Šín
- 3P. Mulder
- 4M. Waem
- 15M. Hokke
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 9T. Chery
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ADO Den Haag wins, 1 draw, 3 NEC Nijmegen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 11, 2017 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 10, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 20, 2016 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2015 | NEC Nijmegen 4-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag on Feb 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (9 points from 12 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 14 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 9 |
A question about ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.