PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Rotterdam wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate PEC Zwolle (1,878) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 25T. Oosting
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
Sparta Rotterdam
5-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 11I. Babadi
- 10J. Toornstra
- 7M. van Bergen
- 18Robin van Cruijsen
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 6N. Verschuren
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PEC Zwolle wins, 3 draws, 0 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 30, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 14th in Eredivisie (11 points from 11 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 12 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
A question about PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.