PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate PEC Zwolle (1,862) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PEC Zwolle win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sparta Rotterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 30, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 12, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 14th in Eredivisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.