Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 7Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Ângelo de Carvalho, Campos dos Goytacazes, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Cardoso Moreira the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Campos AA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira?
Cardoso Moreira starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Campos AA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cardoso Moreira have 10, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-4 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Uniao Central(away) | 0-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uni Souza(home) | 3-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 7, 2026 | EC Resende(away) | 4-0 | Carioca C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Búzios(home) | 2-1 | Carioca C |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Campos AA(away) | 2-1 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Campos AA(home) | 4-1 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Barra Mansa(away) | 2-2 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Independente RJ(home) | 2-0 | Carioca C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Campos AA win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cardoso Moreira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Campos AA 1-2 Cardoso Moreira | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira 4-1 Campos AA | Carioca C |
Last archived meeting: Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira on Jul 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Campos AA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cardoso Moreira score 2.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campos AA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cardoso Moreira | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira?
- The Footlab model makes Cardoso Moreira the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Campos AA.
- Where and when is Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira played?
- Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira is played on October 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Ângelo de Carvalho, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.