Cantoria vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Cantoria. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantoria vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Cantoria (1,720) and Marbelli (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cantoria vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cantoria
Not enough data to predict the Cantoria lineup.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Cantoria have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cantoria score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantoria | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cantoria sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (3 points from 6 matches) and Marbelli sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Cantoria vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantoria vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Cantoria.
- Where and when is Cantoria vs Marbelli played?
- Cantoria vs Marbelli is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Atlético PorcunavsArenas Armilla
- Nov 1, 2026Granada IIvsMotril
- Nov 1, 2026Almería IIvsChurriana Vega
- Nov 1, 2026Málaga IIvsMelilla
- Nov 1, 2026AlhaurinovsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Nov 1, 2026UD San PedrovsMancha Real
- Nov 1, 2026Malaga CityvsHuétor Vega
- Nov 1, 2026Atletico de MarbellavsTorre del Mar