Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Carmarthen Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town?
On Elo ratings, Carmarthen Town has 1,037 points and Pontypridd Town 1,128.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carmarthen Town
Not enough data to predict the Carmarthen Town lineup.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 4-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 4-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carmarthen Town wins, 0 draws, 4 Pontypridd Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Carmarthen Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 3-1 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-3 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 4-2 Pontypridd Town | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 2-0 Carmarthen Town | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carmarthen Town score 1.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 14/15 | 15/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carmarthen Town sit 10th in FAW Championship (15 points from 13 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 1st (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Carmarthen Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 15 |
A question about Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Carmarthen Town.
- Where and when is Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at LHP Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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