Swansea University vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Sketty Lane, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea University vs Ynyshir Albions?
Swansea University starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea University have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Swansea University win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ynyshir Albions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions 2-1 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Swansea University 2-1 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea University sit 1st in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea University vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is Swansea University vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- Swansea University vs Ynyshir Albions is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Sketty Lane, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027Newport CityvsLlantwit Major
- Jan 22, 2027Carmarthen TownvsPontypridd Town
- Jan 22, 2027Afan LidovsCardiff Draconians
- Jan 22, 2027llanelli AFCvsAberystwyth Town
- Jan 22, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsPontardawe Town
- Jan 22, 2027Baglan DragonsvsTreowen Stars
- Jan 22, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsTrethomas Bluebirds