llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberystwyth Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?
Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 llanelli AFC wins, 0 draws, 5 Aberystwyth Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 4-0 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Apr 5, 2019 | Aberystwyth Town 3-2 llanelli AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2019 | llanelli AFC 2-4 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2018 | llanelli AFC 1-3 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town 3-1 llanelli AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.8 | 3.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town played?
- llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027Swansea UniversityvsYnyshir Albions
- Jan 22, 2027Afan LidovsCardiff Draconians
- Jan 22, 2027Newport CityvsLlantwit Major
- Jan 22, 2027Carmarthen TownvsPontypridd Town
- Jan 22, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsPontardawe Town
- Jan 22, 2027Baglan DragonsvsTreowen Stars
- Jan 22, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsTrethomas Bluebirds