Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town played?

llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire

llanelli AFC

Aberystwyth Town

The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Aberystwyth Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,559) and Aberystwyth Town (1,579).

llanelli AFC win42 %

Draw24 %

Aberystwyth Town win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

llanelli AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Swansea University(away)	0-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Newport City(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Haverfordwest County AFC(away)	0-6	Premier League

Aberystwyth Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	5-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026	Cwmbran Celtic(away)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 llanelli AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Aberystwyth Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 5, 2019	Aberystwyth Town 3-2 llanelli AFC	Premier League
Feb 8, 2019	llanelli AFC 2-4 Aberystwyth Town	Premier League
Oct 26, 2018	llanelli AFC 1-3 Aberystwyth Town	Premier League
Aug 31, 2018	Aberystwyth Town 3-1 llanelli AFC	Premier League

Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC on Apr 5, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
llanelli AFC	0.7	2.7	1	8/15	9/15
Aberystwyth Town	1.5	1.6	4	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

llanelli AFC sit 15th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aberystwyth Town	3	2	0	1	11	5	6
15	llanelli AFC	4	0	1	3	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?: The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Aberystwyth Town.
Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town played?: llanelli AFC vs Aberystwyth Town is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.