Match

Newport City vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd

Newport CityLlantwit Major

The Footlab AI model makes Newport City the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,408 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newport City vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Newport City (1,058) and Llantwit Major (1,020).

45%22%33%
Newport City winDrawLlantwit Major win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Newport City vs Llantwit Major

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Newport City

Not enough data to predict the Newport City lineup.

Llantwit Major

Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:52 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newport City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Llangennech(away)0-1Welsh Cup
Nov 6, 2026Treowen Stars(home)2-2FAW Championship
Oct 31, 2026Llantwit Major(away)3-2FAW Championship
Oct 23, 2026Pontypridd Town(home)4-4FAW Championship
Oct 17, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)5-4Welsh Cup
Llantwit Major
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(away)2-2FAW Championship
Oct 31, 2026Newport City(home)2-3FAW Championship
Oct 23, 2026Caerau (Ely)(away)2-0FAW Championship
Oct 17, 2026Trefelin(away)1-4Welsh Cup
Oct 10, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-1FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newport City wins, 2 draws, 1 Llantwit Major win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Llantwit Major 2-3 Newport CityFAW Championship
Feb 20, 2026Newport City 2-1 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Nov 8, 2025Llantwit Major 2-2 Newport CityFAW Championship
Mar 28, 2025Newport City 2-1 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Oct 12, 2024Llantwit Major 1-1 Newport CityFAW Championship
Jul 20, 2024Llantwit Major 2-0 Newport CityLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Newport City on Oct 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newport City score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Newport City1.72.128/1510/15
Llantwit Major1.22.3210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newport City sit 13th in FAW Championship (13 points from 11 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Newport City11344211713
15Llantwit Major12336142612

A question about Newport City vs Llantwit Major?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
The Footlab AI model makes Newport City the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Newport City vs Llantwit Major played?
Newport City vs Llantwit Major is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Newport City and Llantwit Major