Where and when is Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians played?

Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot

Afan Lido

Cardiff Draconians

The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,498) and Cardiff Draconians (1,549).

Afan Lido win42 %

Draw23 %

Cardiff Draconians win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

Cardiff Draconians
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	llanelli AFC(home)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-1	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Afan Lido win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cardiff Draconians win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians 4-1 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Sep 16, 2025	Afan Lido 1-3 Cardiff Draconians	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15
Cardiff Draconians	1.7	2.0	1	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
10	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians?: The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff Draconians.
Where and when is Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians played?: Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.