Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 1-1. If Afan Lido wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,506) and Cardiff Draconians (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Cardiff Draconians
Not enough data to predict the Cardiff Draconians lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radnor Valley(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Afan Lido wins, 0 draws, 3 Cardiff Draconians wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians 2-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians 4-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Afan Lido 1-3 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 7th in FAW Championship (18 points from 14 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 14th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Afan Lido | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians?
- The Footlab AI model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Cardiff Draconians.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians played?
- Afan Lido vs Cardiff Draconians is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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