Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Celta Vigo (2,119) and Racing Santander (2,056).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Santander have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Celta Vigo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Racing Santander win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-3 Celta Vigo | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Celta Vigo on Jan 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Santander | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Racing Santander | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander played?
- Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.