Mauritania vs Benin: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
The Footlab AI model makes Mauritania the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Benin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mauritania wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mauritania vs Benin?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Mauritania (1,478) and Benin (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mauritania vs Benin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mauritania
4-3-3- 11D. Gassama
- 10I. Thiam
- 18D. Camara
- 6O. Ngom
- 7A. Koita
- 8M. Bodda
- 5L. Ba
- 3A. Abeid
- 21J. Lefort
- 13N. El Abd
- 30M. Diop
Benin
4-2-3-1- 10A. Tosin
- 8H. Imourane
- 17R. Aloko
- 18J. Olaitan
- 15S. D'Almeida
- 11Y. Ouorou
- 13M. Tijani
- 5Y. Roche
- 3Tamimou Ouorou
- 2L. Omore
- 1M. Dandjinou
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mauritania have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Benin have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Benin(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Central African Republic(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Niger(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Angola(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Togo(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Niger(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mauritania win, 0 draws, 2 Benin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Benin 2-1 Mauritania | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 18, 2019 | Benin 3-1 Mauritania | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Mauritania 1-0 Benin | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Mauritania score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Benin score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauritania | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Benin | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mauritania sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Benin sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Mauritania vs Benin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mauritania vs Benin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mauritania the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Benin.
- Where and when is Mauritania vs Benin played?
- Mauritania vs Benin is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.