CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano: prediction and stats
Liga 3Matchday 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Restelo, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Louletano. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano?
CF Os Belenenses starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Os Belenenses
4-3-3- 23Bruninho
- 33Chamito
- 11João Oliveira
- 17Diogo Leitão
- 21T. Morgado
- 14A. Afonso
- 4Nuno Tomás
- 66Cesinha
- 15João Lucas
- 58David Monteiro
- 99Guilherme Oliveira
Louletano
4-3-3- 23Daniel Paulino
- 9Gonçalo Teixeira
- 27N. Martelo
- 3Tiago Correia
- 10Vítor Gonçalves
- 8Sander Ramires
- 12Gabriel Passos
- 2Carlinhos
- 97Elvis Mendes
- 18D. Martins
- 71Marcão
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Os Belenenses have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Louletano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 CF Os Belenenses win, 0 draws, 0 Louletano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Louletano 1-3 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Os Belenenses score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Louletano score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Os Belenenses | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Louletano | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Os Belenenses sit 1st in Liga 3 (21 points from 9 matches) and Louletano sit 6th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Louletano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
A question about CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Louletano.
- Where and when is CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano played?
- CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Restelo, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.