CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 9Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
The Footlab model makes CF Pachuca the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Club Tijuana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate CF Pachuca (1,938) and Club Tijuana (1,909).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Pachuca have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Club Tijuana have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austin(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CF Pachuca win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Club Tijuana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Club Tijuana 3-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-2 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2025 | CF Pachuca 4-1 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Club Tijuana 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CF Pachuca 3-2 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Club Tijuana 2-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Pachuca score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Tijuana score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Pachuca | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Club Tijuana | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Pachuca sit 13th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Club Tijuana sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana?
- The Footlab model makes CF Pachuca the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Club Tijuana.
- Where and when is CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana played?
- CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana is played on September 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Hidalgo, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.