FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for FC Juarez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?
Tigres UANL starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Juarez have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tigres UANL have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club America(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-6 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Juarez win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | FC Juarez 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Tigres UANL 1-0 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Tigres UANL 0-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2024 | FC Juarez 0-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Tigres UANL 1-0 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 9, 2023 | FC Juarez 1-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL on Mar 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Juarez score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Juarez sit 18th in Liga MX (0 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for FC Juarez.
- Where and when is FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL played?
- FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.