Toluca vs Santos Laguna: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 9Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Santos Laguna won 2-3 on September 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 25′F. ViñasToluca
- 43′PaulinhoToluca
- 45′E. BullaudeSantos Laguna
- 86′K. PalaciosSantos Laguna
- 90′Fran VillalbaSantos Laguna
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Toluca win at 79%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 3-0. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 9A. Vega
- 16F. Viñas
- 20J. Gallardo
- 8N. Castro
- 205Edher Guadalupe Segura Téllez
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Santos Laguna
5-4-1- 20E. Lozano
- 193Luis Gómez
- 23F. Cáseres
- 8S. Mariscal
- 10E. Bullaude
- 17E. EcheverrÃa
- 25Felipe Sánchez
- 18F. Pardo
- 28Jonathan Pérez
- 3M. Cuevas
- 1C. Acevedo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Santos Laguna have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 0 draws, 2 Santos Laguna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Santos Laguna 2-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Toluca vs Santos Laguna on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (21 points from 12 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 9th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 21 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy