Match

Chatham Town vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent

Chatham TownLeatherhead

The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Leatherhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chatham Town vs Leatherhead?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Chatham Town (1,903) and Leatherhead (1,859).

Chatham Town win45 %
Draw24 %
Leatherhead win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chatham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whitehawk(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Three Bridges(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026St Albans City(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chatham Town2.11.267/1512/15
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chatham Town43011059
8Leatherhead4211987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Leatherhead?
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Leatherhead.
Where and when is Chatham Town vs Leatherhead played?
Chatham Town vs Leatherhead is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chatham Town and Leatherhead

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