Cheltenham vs Tranmere: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Tranmere?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,675) and Tranmere (1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tranmere have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cheltenham win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tranmere win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Cheltenham 1-3 Tranmere | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Tranmere 3-2 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Tranmere 2-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Cheltenham 1-0 Tranmere | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Cheltenham 4-0 Tranmere | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Tranmere 0-3 Cheltenham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Cheltenham vs Tranmere on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tranmere score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tranmere | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 14th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Tranmere sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Tranmere?
- The Footlab model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Tranmere played?
- Cheltenham vs Tranmere is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.