Rotherham vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Rotherham (1,721) and Swindon Town (1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
3-4-1-2- 10P. Mullin
- 9T. Bradshaw
- 12D. Hall
- 4J. Austerfield
- 24J. Buyabu
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 6O. Ashley
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 26H. Douglas
- 13J. Eyestone
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 34B. Kirkman
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 2M. Clark
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Rotherham win, 0 draws, 4 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Rotherham 1-2 Swindon Town | FA Cup |
| May 3, 2014 | Swindon Town 1-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Rotherham 0-4 Swindon Town | League One |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Rotherham 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Swindon Town 3-2 Rotherham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rotherham vs Swindon Town on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 23rd in League Two (10 points from 11 matches) and Swindon Town sit 18th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Rotherham vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Swindon Town played?
- Rotherham vs Swindon Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.