Crawley Town vs Oldham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Oldham the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Oldham?
Oldham starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Oldham have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crawley Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Oldham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Oldham 2-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Crawley Town 2-2 Oldham | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Oldham 3-3 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Crawley Town 2-2 Oldham | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Crawley Town 1-4 Oldham | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Oldham 2-3 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Crawley Town on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oldham score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Oldham | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 15th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Oldham sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Oldham?
- The Footlab model makes Oldham the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Oldham played?
- Crawley Town vs Oldham is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.