Gillingham vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Gillingham the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Shrewsbury?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Gillingham (1,652) and Shrewsbury (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Shrewsbury have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gillingham win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Shrewsbury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gillingham 1-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Shrewsbury 3-3 Gillingham | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Gillingham 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Gillingham | League One |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Gillingham 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Gillingham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Shrewsbury on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.0 | 1.6 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gillingham sit 21st in League Two (1 points from 2 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 24th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab model makes Gillingham the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Shrewsbury played?
- Gillingham vs Shrewsbury is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.