Match

BFC Preussen vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin

BFC PreussenHertha BSC II

The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Preussen vs Hertha BSC II?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate BFC Preussen (1,853) and Hertha BSC II (1,793).

BFC Preussen win50 %
Draw24 %
Hertha BSC II win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Preussen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Hertha BSC II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026BFC Dynamo(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Altglienicke(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-4Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 BFC Preussen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hertha BSC II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 6, 2026Hertha BSC II 5-0 BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 17, 2025BFC Preussen 0-0 Hertha BSC IIRegionalliga - Nordost
Jan 25, 2025Hertha BSC II 2-2 BFC PreussenFriendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2024Hertha BSC II 2-1 BFC PreussenFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC II vs BFC Preussen on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BFC Preussen1.61.719/159/15
Hertha BSC II1.11.729/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 5 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Hertha BSC II51135134
17BFC Preussen5023492

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs Hertha BSC II?
The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Hertha BSC II.
Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Hertha BSC II played?
BFC Preussen vs Hertha BSC II is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: BFC Preussen and Hertha BSC II

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