Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo?
Altglienicke starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altglienicke have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Altglienicke win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Altglienicke 0-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 3-0 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Altglienicke 1-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 3-2 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Altglienicke 3-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs Altglienicke on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altglienicke sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo played?
- Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026FSV ZwickauvsTasmania Berlin
- Oct 11, 2026Hallescher FCvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 11, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsMagdeburg II
- Oct 11, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Oct 11, 2026BFC PreussenvsHertha BSC II
- Oct 11, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsLokomotive Leipzig
- Oct 11, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLuckenwalde
- Oct 11, 2026Greifswalder FCvsErzgebirge Aue