Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde played?

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig

BSG Chemie Leipzig

Luckenwalde

The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,804) and Luckenwalde (1,784).

BSG Chemie Leipzig win43 %

Draw28 %

Luckenwalde win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BSG Chemie Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026	SV Babelsberg 03(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Luckenwalde win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 27, 2025	Luckenwalde 1-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Feb 1, 2025	BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-3 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 10, 2024	Luckenwalde 0-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
May 19, 2024	Luckenwalde 1-3 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Feb 21, 2024	BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BSG Chemie Leipzig	1.3	1.3	2	7/15	6/15
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.4	3	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Luckenwalde	5	1	0	4	5	11	3
18	BSG Chemie Leipzig	5	0	1	4	1	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?: The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde played?: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.