Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, Chengdu
The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Tianjin Teda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
Chengdu Better City starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chengdu Better City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Tianjin Teda have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 4-5 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chengdu Better City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tianjin Teda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Tianjin Teda 1-2 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Tianjin Teda 2-1 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Chengdu Better City 1-2 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Chengdu Better City 2-1 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Tianjin Teda 2-3 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Tianjin Teda 2-2 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Better City on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chengdu Better City score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tianjin Teda score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Tianjin Teda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chengdu Better City sit 1st in Super League (37 points from 15 matches) and Tianjin Teda sit 16th (5 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 37 |
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
- The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Tianjin Teda.
- Where and when is Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda played?
- Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsHenan Jianye
- Oct 9, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 10, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 10, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 11, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 11, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsWuhan Three Towns
- Oct 11, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng