Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Qingdao Youth Island the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Dalian Zhixing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?
Qingdao Youth Island starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,668 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qingdao Youth Island have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Dalian Zhixing have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Qingdao Youth Island win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dalian Zhixing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing 2-3 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dalian Zhixing 0-2 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Youth Island on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qingdao Youth Island score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dalian Zhixing score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dalian Zhixing | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qingdao Youth Island sit 6th in Super League (18 points from 15 matches) and Dalian Zhixing sit 3rd (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Zhixing | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?
- The Footlab model makes Qingdao Youth Island the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Dalian Zhixing.
- Where and when is Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing played?
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing is played on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsHenan Jianye
- Oct 9, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 10, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsTianjin Teda
- Oct 10, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 10, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 11, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsWuhan Three Towns
- Oct 11, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng