Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Yunnan Yukun. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Shanghai Shenhua (1,704) and Yunnan Yukun (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shanghai Shenhua have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Yunnan Yukun have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 5-4 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 3-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Shanghai Shenhua win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Yunnan Yukun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Yunnan Yukun 4-4 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 Yunnan Yukun | Super League |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Yunnan Yukun 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shanghai Shenhua score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yunnan Yukun score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Yunnan Yukun | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shanghai Shenhua sit 12th in Super League (13 points from 15 matches) and Yunnan Yukun sit 4th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun?
- The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Yunnan Yukun.
- Where and when is Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun played?
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Shanghai Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsHenan Jianye
- Oct 9, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 10, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsTianjin Teda
- Oct 10, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 11, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 11, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsWuhan Three Towns
- Oct 11, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng