Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yellow Dragon Sports Center Stadium, Hangzhou
The Footlab model makes Hangzhou Greentown the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SHANGHAI SIPG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Hangzhou Greentown (1,587) and SHANGHAI SIPG (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hangzhou Greentown have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SHANGHAI SIPG have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hangzhou Greentown win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 SHANGHAI SIPG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG 2-2 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | SHANGHAI SIPG 3-0 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Hangzhou Greentown 2-2 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Hangzhou Greentown 1-2 SHANGHAI SIPG | FA Cup |
| Jun 29, 2024 | SHANGHAI SIPG 3-1 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Hangzhou Greentown 0-0 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
Last archived meeting: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Hangzhou Greentown on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hangzhou Greentown score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SHANGHAI SIPG score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hangzhou Greentown sit 7th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and SHANGHAI SIPG sit 13th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hangzhou Greentown | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 8 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 25 |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
- The Footlab model makes Hangzhou Greentown the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SHANGHAI SIPG.
- Where and when is Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG played?
- Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG is played on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yellow Dragon Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsHenan Jianye
- Oct 10, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 10, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsTianjin Teda
- Oct 10, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 11, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 11, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsWuhan Three Towns
- Oct 11, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng