Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua
The Footlab model makes Shenyang Urban the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Wuhan Three Towns. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Shenyang Urban (1,529) and Wuhan Three Towns (1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenyang Urban have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wuhan Three Towns have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Shenyang Urban win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wuhan Three Towns win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Shenyang Urban | Super League |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 Shenyang Urban | League One |
| May 11, 2021 | Shenyang Urban 1-3 Wuhan Three Towns | League One |
Last archived meeting: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenyang Urban on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shenyang Urban score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenyang Urban | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shenyang Urban sit 8th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th (8 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shenyang Urban | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 12 | Shenyang Urban | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 8 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns?
- The Footlab model makes Shenyang Urban the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Wuhan Three Towns.
- Where and when is Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns played?
- Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsHenan Jianye
- Oct 9, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 10, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsTianjin Teda
- Oct 10, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 10, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 11, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 11, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng