Match

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua

Shenyang UrbanWuhan Three Towns

The Footlab model makes Shenyang Urban the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Wuhan Three Towns. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Shenyang Urban (1,529) and Wuhan Three Towns (1,471).

Shenyang Urban win53 %
Draw23 %
Wuhan Three Towns win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenyang Urban have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wuhan Three Towns have 2, 9 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shenyang Urban
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Henan Jianye(home)4-4Super League
Aug 15, 2026Sichuan Jiuniu(home)1-2Super League
Aug 8, 2026Dalian Zhixing(away)0-1Super League
Aug 2, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)3-1Super League
Jul 25, 2026Qingdao Youth Island(home)0-1Super League
Wuhan Three Towns
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tianjin Teda(home)0-0Super League
Aug 14, 2026SHANGHAI SIPG(home)2-3Super League
Aug 1, 2026Chengdu Better City(away)1-1Super League
Jul 25, 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long(home)1-0Super League
Jul 21, 2026Shandong Luneng(home)2-2FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Shenyang Urban win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wuhan Three Towns win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Shenyang UrbanSuper League
Jun 5, 2021Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 Shenyang UrbanLeague One
May 11, 2021Shenyang Urban 1-3 Wuhan Three TownsLeague One

Last archived meeting: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenyang Urban on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shenyang Urban score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shenyang Urban1.71.7110/1510/15
Wuhan Three Towns1.31.5410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shenyang Urban sit 8th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th (8 points from 15 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Shenyang Urban15528202317
12Shenyang Urban237412333925
15Wuhan Three Towns1527622308
15Wuhan Three Towns22499303816

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The Footlab model makes Shenyang Urban the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Wuhan Three Towns.
Where and when is Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns played?
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns

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