Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, Dongguan
The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sichuan Jiuniu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Sichuan Jiuniu (1,504) and Henan Jianye (1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sichuan Jiuniu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Henan Jianye have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 3-4 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sichuan Jiuniu win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Henan Jianye win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye 1-0 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Henan Jianye 4-1 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-3 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sichuan Jiuniu 0-0 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Henan Jianye 0-2 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Sichuan Jiuniu 0-0 Henan Jianye | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Henan Jianye vs Sichuan Jiuniu on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Henan Jianye score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Henan Jianye | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sichuan Jiuniu sit 9th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Henan Jianye sit 11th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye?
- The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sichuan Jiuniu.
- Where and when is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye played?
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye is played on October 9, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 10, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 10, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsTianjin Teda
- Oct 10, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 11, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 11, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsWuhan Three Towns
- Oct 11, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng