Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC played?

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Chicago Fire

Orlando City SC

The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Orlando City SC. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Chicago Fire (1,851) and Orlando City SC (1,786).

Chicago Fire win59 %

Draw21 %

Orlando City SC win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chicago Fire have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Orlando City SC have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chicago Fire
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	New York Red Bulls(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Timbers(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	2-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

Orlando City SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	FC Cincinnati(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	2-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Leon(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chicago Fire win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Orlando City SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Orlando City SC 1-2 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
Oct 23, 2025	Chicago Fire 3-1 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025	Orlando City SC 1-3 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025	Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2024	Orlando City SC 4-2 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024	Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chicago Fire score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City SC score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chicago Fire	1.9	1.5	2	13/15	12/15
Orlando City SC	2.1	1.9	2	12/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chicago Fire sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (36 points from 20 matches) and Orlando City SC sit 9th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Chicago Fire	20	11	3	6	37	26	36
9	Orlando City SC	21	7	3	11	34	51	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?: The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Orlando City SC.
Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC played?: Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.