New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
The Footlab model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate New England Revolution (1,732) and New York Red Bulls (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; New York Red Bulls have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charlotte(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 New England Revolution win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 New York Red Bulls win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | New York Red Bulls 1-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 16, 2025 | New York Red Bulls 5-3 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 29, 2025 | New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 8, 2024 | New England Revolution 1-0 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| May 11, 2024 | New York Red Bulls 4-2 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jan 24, 2024 | New England Revolution 0-3 New York Red Bulls | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| New York Red Bulls | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New England Revolution sit 4th in Major League Soccer (34 points from 21 matches) and New York Red Bulls sit 8th (26 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 43 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
- The Footlab model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New York Red Bulls.
- Where and when is New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls played?
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls is played on October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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