Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
The Footlab AI model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?
Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,994 vs 1,843).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter Miami
4-3-3- 10L. Messi
- 9L. Suárez
- 19G. Berterame
- 7R. De Paul
- 80M. Galarza
- 22D. Ayala
- 5Casemiro
- 3Reguilón
- 16Micael
- 2G. Luján
- 97D. St. Clair
FC Cincinnati
3-5-2- 9K. Denkey
- 16T. Barlow
- 5O. Nwobodo
- 3T. Malacia
- 20P. Bucha
- 10Evander
- 23D. Douděra
- 15T. Hadebe
- 11S. Gidi
- 6J. Malatini
- 18R. Celentano
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 14, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 10, 2026 | DC United(home) | 4-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 14, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 26, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Inter Miami wins, 1 draw, 2 FC Cincinnati wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | FC Cincinnati 3-5 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 23, 2025 | FC Cincinnati 0-4 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Inter Miami 0-0 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 16, 2025 | FC Cincinnati 3-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Inter Miami 2-0 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 6, 2024 | FC Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Miami score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Cincinnati | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (55 points from 30 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 9th (36 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73 | 51 | 55 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 60 | 70 | 36 |
A question about Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for FC Cincinnati.
- Where and when is Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati played?
- Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati is played on October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.