Charlotte vs CF Montreal: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Charlotte (1,831) and CF Montreal (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CF Montreal have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DC United(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | DC United(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Charlotte win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CF Montreal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Charlotte 1-4 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 12, 2025 | CF Montreal 0-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Charlotte 2-0 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 14, 2024 | CF Montreal 2-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 15, 2023 | CF Montreal 2-0 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Charlotte 0-0 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs CF Montreal on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| CF Montreal | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte sit 5th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 21 matches) and CF Montreal sit 13th (21 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
- The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for CF Montreal.
- Where and when is Charlotte vs CF Montreal played?
- Charlotte vs CF Montreal is played on October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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