Buxton vs Harborough Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Harborough Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,053 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Harborough Town?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Buxton (1,944) and Harborough Town (2,021).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Harborough Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Harborough Town
Not enough data to predict the Harborough Town lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Harborough Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Southport(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Harborough Town score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Harborough Town | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 11th in National League - North (17 points from 12 matches) and Harborough Town sit 17th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Buxton vs Harborough Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Harborough Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Harborough Town.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Harborough Town played?
- Buxton vs Harborough Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Hebburn Town0-2Scarborough Athletic
- Oct 27, 2026MorecambevsDarlington 1883
- Oct 27, 2026ChestervsMarine
- Oct 27, 2026SouthportvsMacclesfield
- Oct 27, 2026Oxford CityvsMerthyr Town
- Oct 27, 2026HerefordvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 27, 2026Spennymoor TownvsSouth Shields
- Oct 27, 2026Worksop TownvsKing's Lynn Town