Where and when is Buxton vs Harborough Town played?

Buxton vs Harborough Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buxton vs Harborough Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire

Buxton

Harborough Town

The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buxton vs Harborough Town?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Buxton (1,883) and Harborough Town (1,972).

Buxton win33 %

Draw25 %

Harborough Town win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Harborough Town have 8, 7 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Harborough Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Darlington 1883(home)	4-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Oxford City(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Morecambe(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	King's Lynn Town(away)	1-1	National League - North
Apr 25, 2026	Stamford(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
Harborough Town	2.0	0.9	4	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Harborough Town sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Harborough Town	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Harborough Town?: The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Buxton.
Where and when is Buxton vs Harborough Town played?: Buxton vs Harborough Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.