Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów 3-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | I Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Arka GdyniavsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 10, 2026Odra OpolevsMiedz Legnica
- Oct 10, 2026PodbeskidzievsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 10, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsPolonia Bytom
- Oct 10, 2026Stal MielecvsWarta Poznań
- Oct 10, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsRuch Chorzów
- Oct 10, 2026Stal RzeszówvsLechia Gdansk
- Oct 10, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsNieciecza