Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia SkierniewiceNieciecza

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,910) and Nieciecza (1,869).

Unia Skierniewice win46 %
Draw25 %
Nieciecza win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga
Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-3I Liga
Aug 16, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)2-1I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15
Nieciecza2.11.6410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Nieciecza5203786
12Unia Skierniewice5203586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nieciecza.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza played?
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Unia Skierniewice and Nieciecza

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