Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,910) and Nieciecza (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nieciecza.
- Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza played?
- Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Arka GdyniavsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 10, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Oct 10, 2026Odra OpolevsMiedz Legnica
- Oct 10, 2026PodbeskidzievsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 10, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsPolonia Bytom
- Oct 10, 2026Stal MielecvsWarta Poznań
- Oct 10, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsRuch Chorzów
- Oct 10, 2026Stal RzeszówvsLechia Gdansk