Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań: result 2-1 and analysis
I LigaMatchday 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec
Full time
What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?
Stal Mielec won 2-1 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. CebulaStal Mielec
- 11′M. CebulaStal Mielec
- 72′J. ApolinarskiWarta Poznań
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Warta Poznań win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Stal Mielec
- 20E. Ziobron
- 29P. Tupaj
- 47S. Oure
- 78K. Cybulski
- 7M. Cebula
- 18P. Wlazło
- 32F. Gerbowski
- 5H. Matynia
- 44Israel Puerto
- 94B. Kwiecień
- 99M. Gostomski
Warta Poznań
- 9M. Stanek
- 6B. Lelito
- 7J. Apolinarski
- 8F. Rejczyk
- 11A. Wołczek
- 17M. Stefaniak
- 20K. Szymanek
- 22K. Łysiak
- 3O. Azatskyi
- 24D. Avdeev
- 42L. Przybylak
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 1-7 | I Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-2 | I Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Mielec win, 2 draws, 3 Warta Poznań wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2024 | Warta Poznań 5-2 Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| May 27, 2023 | Stal Mielec 1-0 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Warta Poznań 1-1 Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Warta Poznań 0-0 Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec on Apr 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Mielec score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Warta Poznań | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Mielec sit 11th in I Liga (19 points from 14 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 9th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warta Poznań | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 19 |
A question about Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Podbeskidzie1-0Pogoń Siedlce
- Oct 10, 2026Arka Gdynia1-2Polonia Warszawa
- Oct 10, 2026Chrobry Głogów0-4Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Oct 10, 2026Unia Skierniewice2-2Nieciecza
- Oct 11, 2026ŁKS Łódź0-2Ruch Chorzów
- Oct 11, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice0-1Polonia Bytom
- Oct 11, 2026Odra Opole1-0Miedz Legnica
- Oct 12, 2026Stal Rzeszów1-2Lechia Gdansk