Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

Podbeskidzie

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,759).

Podbeskidzie win61 %

Draw22 %

Pogoń Siedlce win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	3-3	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Podbeskidzie win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 26, 2023	Pogoń Siedlce 1-3 Podbeskidzie	Cup
Sep 25, 2019	Pogoń Siedlce 1-0 Podbeskidzie	Cup

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie on Sep 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie	1.8	1.1	3	12/15	8/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Podbeskidzie	5	0	5	0	8	8	5
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.