Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom played?

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice

Puszcza Niepołomice

Polonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Puszcza Niepołomice win47 %

Draw24 %

Polonia Bytom win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Puszcza Niepołomice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	0-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	0-1	I Liga

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice 2-1 Polonia Bytom	I Liga
Oct 4, 2025	Polonia Bytom 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice	I Liga
Jul 6, 2024	Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Polonia Bytom	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Puszcza Niepołomice	0.8	1.5	3	4/15	7/15
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5
17	Puszcza Niepołomice	5	1	0	4	3	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom?: The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom played?: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.