Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk played?

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów

Stal Rzeszów

Lechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk?

Lechia Gdansk starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,723).

Stal Rzeszów win29 %

Draw25 %

Lechia Gdansk win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Rzeszów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-4	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-5	I Liga

Lechia Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-3	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2024	Stal Rzeszów 4-2 Lechia Gdansk	I Liga
Oct 28, 2023	Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk on Apr 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Rzeszów	1.3	2.3	1	11/15	11/15
Lechia Gdansk	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	3	9	4
18	Stal Rzeszów	5	0	2	3	3	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk played?: Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.