Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Martín Beranger, Temperley, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Temperley the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors?
Temperley starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Temperley have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chacarita Juniors have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Midland(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlanta(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Temperley win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chacarita Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors 0-1 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Chacarita Juniors 0-0 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Temperley 0-3 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Chacarita Juniors 1-2 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Chacarita Juniors 2-2 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Temperley 0-0 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Chacarita Juniors vs Temperley on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Temperley score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temperley | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Temperley sit 3rd in Primera Nacional (43 points from 26 matches) and Chacarita Juniors sit 16th (27 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Temperley | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 43 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Temperley the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Chacarita Juniors.
- Where and when is Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors played?
- Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Martín Beranger, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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