U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, D.F.
The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Monterrey. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate U.N.A.M. - Pumas (1,956) and Monterrey (1,940).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Monterrey have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 6-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Monterrey 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| May 5, 2025 | Monterrey 2-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-3 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Dec 1, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-5 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Monterrey 1-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey?
- The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Monterrey.
- Where and when is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey played?
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.