U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, D.F.
The Footlab AI model makes Monterrey the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monterrey wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate U.N.A.M. - Pumas (1,931) and Monterrey (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-4-2- 23Juninho
- 31R. Morales
- 21U. Antuna
- 45P. Vite
- 8A. Carrasquilla
- 10C. Huerta
- 6Nathan Silva
- 7R. López
- 2P. Bennevendo
- 5Rubén Duarte
- 1K. Navas
Monterrey
4-2-3-1- 99H. Cuypers
- 18Cesar Garza Cantu
- 9D. Rossi
- 7L. Ocampos
- 8Óliver Torres
- 25O. Pineda
- 2R. Chávez
- 3G. Arteaga
- 4V. Guzmán
- 13C. Salcedo
- 1E. Andrada
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Monterrey have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Club America(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 1 draw, 4 Monterrey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Monterrey 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| May 5, 2025 | Monterrey 2-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-3 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Dec 1, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-5 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Monterrey 1-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th in Liga MX (21 points from 16 matches) and Monterrey sit 10th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
A question about U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monterrey the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
- Where and when is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey played?
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.