Puebla vs Atletico San Luis: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico San Luis the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Puebla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico San Luis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
Atletico San Luis starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puebla vs Atletico San Luis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puebla
4-2-3-1- 9L. Hernández
- 27B. Garnica
- 24A. Organista
- 8O. Moreno
- 14E. Armenta
- 16A. Ramírez
- 4J. Vargas
- 5F. Almada
- 7F. Monárrez
- 12I. Moreno
- 28R. Gutiérrez
Atletico San Luis
3-4-2-1- 99F. Mora
- 21Ó. Macías
- 10S. Salles-Lamonge
- 11D. Rodríguez
- 22Rafa Llorente
- 17A. Duarte
- 7B. Galdames
- 31E. Águila
- 18A. Cruz
- 3Robson Bambu
- 25G. Lajud
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atletico San Luis have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Puebla win, 0 draws, 5 Atletico San Luis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Atletico San Luis 0-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Puebla 0-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Atletico San Luis vs Puebla on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico San Luis score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico San Luis | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 14th in Liga MX (16 points from 15 matches) and Atletico San Luis sit 13th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico San Luis the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Puebla.
- Where and when is Puebla vs Atletico San Luis played?
- Puebla vs Atletico San Luis is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.