Puebla vs Atletico San Luis: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
The Footlab model makes Atletico San Luis the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Puebla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Puebla (1,741) and Atletico San Luis (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atletico San Luis have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Austin(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 2-5 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-4 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Puebla win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Atletico San Luis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Atletico San Luis 0-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Puebla 0-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Atletico San Luis vs Puebla on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico San Luis score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Atletico San Luis | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Atletico San Luis sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico San Luis the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Puebla.
- Where and when is Puebla vs Atletico San Luis played?
- Puebla vs Atletico San Luis is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.